Japanese Yen Drops, GBP Briefly Above 1.27, NOK Outperforms - US Market Open

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – Japanese Yen Drops, GBP Briefly Above 1.27, NOK Outperforms

市场发展 - 日元下跌，英镑兑1.27以上，NOK表现优于

DailyFX Q2 2019 FX Trading Forecasts

DailyFX Q2 2019外汇交易预测

GBP: Todays jobs report had been encouraging across the board with wages picking up, while the unemployment rate remained at a 44yr low. Consequently, GBPUSD pushed above 1.27, while EURGBP briefly broke below. While the firmer UK jobs data emboldens the recent hawkish commentary from BoE members, the fact remains the same in that the BoE are largely on the side-lines until Brexit clarity is found. As such, focus on Sterling will remain on who the next PM will be and how that will be impact the Brexit outlook. As it stands, the case for a 2019 rate hike remains doubtful.

GBP：今日就业报告令人鼓舞工资上涨的董事会，而失业率仍保持在44年低点。因此，英镑兑美元突破1.27，而欧元兑英镑短暂跌破。虽然较为稳固的英国就业数据鼓舞了英国央行成员近期强硬的评论，但实际情况仍然相同，因为在英国退出欧盟清晰度之前，英国央行主要处于边缘。因此，关注英镑将继续关注下一任总理将会是谁以及这将如何影响英国脱欧前景。目前看来，2019年加息的情况仍然令人怀疑。

NOK: One central bank that will continue its normalisation in interest rates is the Norges Bank. Softer than expected CPI pushed the NOK lower against the USD and EUR, however, volatile components (food prices, airplane tickets) had been the notable drags on inflation, which in turn is unlikely to derail the Norges Bank from raising rates next week. Alongside this, the latest regional network survey had been firmer, having highlighted that growth over the past 3-months had been the highest since Q3 2012, thus not only providing a green light for next weeks rate increase but also raises the potential that the central could perhaps raise its tightening path. This will also depend on how they see the impact of slowing global growth feeding into the domestic economy, which has been resilient thus far.

NOK：一家中央银行将继续其利息正常化费率是挪威银行。比预期更疲软的消费者物价指数推动挪威克朗兑美元和欧元走低，然而，不稳定的成分（食品价格，机票）一直是通胀的显着拖累，这反过来不太可能使挪威银行在下周加息。除此之外，最新的区域网络调查更加坚定，突显出过去3个月的增长是2012年第三季度以来的最高点，因此不仅为下周的加息提供了绿灯，而且还提升了中央的潜力。也许可以提高其紧缩之路。这也将取决于他们如何看待全球经济增长放缓对国内经济的影响，而国内经济迄今为止一直保持强劲。

JPY: The Japanese Yen is softer across the board, with the exception of the New Zealand Dollar as increased risk appetite keeps equity markets bid. Alongside this, with US 10yr yields basing out around 2.06%, now trading at 2.17%, USDJPY has continued to edge higher towards 109.00.

日元：日元全线走软除新西兰元外，风险偏好增加使股市继续竞价。除此之外，美国10年期国债收益率约为2.06％，目前交易价格为2.17％，美元兑日元继续走高至109.00。

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Source: DailyFX, Thomson Reuters

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