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Abstract:The Japanese Yen got a very modest boost from the BoJs expected decision, perhaps as it contrasted with a more dovish Federal Reserve
Japanese Yen, Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision, Talking Points:
The Japanese central bank left the controls alone for June
This was entirely as expected
The Yen made small immediate gains however
Find out what retail foreign exchange traders make of the Japanese Yens chances right now at the DailyFX Sentiment Page.
The Japanese Yen gained a little on the US Dollar Thursday after the Bank of Japan changed none of its monetary policy positions.
That means the key short-term rate stays at -0.1%, the ten-year Japanese Government Bond yield target is still 0.0% and the pledge to increase bond holdings by JPY80 trillion (US$740 billion) annually endures.
Rate-setters remained worried about the effects of global factors on the Japanese economy and noted some weakness in both exports and output.
USD/JPY slid moderately after this very ‘steady as she goes’ decision from the BoJ, which contrasted with Wednesdays Federal Reserve policy meet at which more monetary easing was kept as a clear, near-term prospect.
The Japanese Yen has been strengthening relentlessly against the US Dollar since late April as a variety of global worries has spurred demand for perceived haven assets. Chief among those has been the trade spat between the US and China. Japan is also a country which has run persistent trade surpluses with the US and as such has also been in the White Houses sights.
A Fed pausing its rate increases and, now, it seems, moving closer to taking some of them back has also accelerated the Dollars slide.
There are some signs that disquiet with the BoJs ultra-accommodative monetary policy are growing as it signally fails in its chief aim- the stimulation of pricing power. The most recent official release showed consumer prices rising by only 0.9%, way below the 2%-plus long targeted by the central bank but not achieved since 2015.
A regular business survey from Reuters released this week found only 5% of firms wanted more monetary easing, with the rest preferring fiscal measures.
It‘s clearly too soon for any major change of tack at the Bank of Japan, but should inflation remain docile, questioning of the sort revealed by Reuters’ survey will probably get a lot louder.
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The global market is experiencing significant volatility due to uncertainties in economic data and central bank policies. Key highlights include the Nasdaq 100 index's dramatic rise and fall, Amazon's disappointing sales data, and Japan's significant stock market drop following an unexpected rate hike by the Bank of Japan.
After digesting Jerome Powell's comments following the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday, the dollar erased all its losses from the soft CPI reading, continuing its upward trajectory. The hawkish outlook from the Fed stimulated dollar strength against its peers, while the bullish momentum in equity markets was hindered by the prospect of prolonged high interest rates.
The USD/JPY pair is predicted to increase based on both fundamental and technical analyses. Fundamental factors include a potential easing of aggressive bond buying by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which could lead to yen depreciation. Technical indicators suggest a continuing uptrend, with the possibility of a correction once the price reaches the 157.7 to 160 range.
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