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Abstract:The dollar fluctuated between losses and gains, then fell yesterday as markets digested a slightly bearish tone from US monetary officials, offset by predictions that worry about the corona virus from medical experts.
The dollar fluctuated between losses and gains, then fell yesterday as markets digested a slightly bearish tone from US monetary officials, offset by predictions that worry about the corona virus from medical experts. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Fed chairman Jerome Powell in their testimony yesterday assessed that his party would do anything to recover the US economy in countering the effects of the corona virus. Mnuchin said that in the DPR had to pass more into the virus relief program at the end of July, while Powell said it could reduce the minimum loan limit under the Main Street program loan in the future. On the other hand, Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases in his address to the Senate committee yesterday regarding the case surge and said about a country that should not be released when comparing the safe and effective Covid-19 vaccine.
Sterling managed to rebound against the US dollar yesterday, despite data showing a UK GDP contracting 2.2% between January and March, the worst growth since 1979. Amid a weakening dollar the pound strengthened 0.83% to $ 2401.
The price of gold won $ 1,785 per ounce during Tuesday's session and starts at $ 1,800, which is a psychological area. Market wealth about protecting the spread of the corona virus in the US and still supporting gold as a safe haven. There are currently more than 10 million cases of the virus, which are spread across several, with the US, the highest infection rates, then Brazil and India.
Oil prices are declining because of an increase in the number of coronary viruses which is feared could disrupt demand. However, the decline in oil was able to release after data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) that determined US oil reserves replaced the decline. API estimates that US oil reserves will fall 2.459 million barrels, more than the estimated decline of 1.583. While distillation reserves rose by 2.638 million barrels, and reserves at the storage center in Cushing Oklahoma also rose by 164 barrels. Last week, the API reported US oil reserves added 1,749 increase. Meanwhile, in terms of production, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that US oil production has fallen from 13.1 million, which was achieved on March 13, to 11 million bpd. On June 12, US oil production reached 10.5 million bpd, the lowest in recent years. The price of WTI oil fell 0.83% to $ 39.37 and Brent dropped 1.34% to $ 41.15.
Asian stocks varied in early quarterly trading, as investors scrutinized mixed global economic data amid the corona virus and US-China merger. Shares in Japan were flat after the Tankan survey dropped to the lowest level since 2009. While Australian shares gained, and South Korea recorded a big gain. Hong Kong bourse closed due to a public holiday.
Today's Focus: Minutes of Manufacturing PMI, ADP & FOMC
Large-scale countries will release manufacturing PMI data, which will carry a large showing of Covid-19 against the manufacturing sector in these countries. After that, the focus of the market will be on the US ADP non-farm payroll data, which is expected to grow 2,850 thousand in June. The data will provide an overview of payroll data to be released Thursday. Then there are FOMC minutes.
[About The Author]
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The euro rose sharply against the dollar yesterday failed important events in the euro area this week. The euro will discuss the volatility that will be announced at this week's ECB Thursday and the European Union meeting (EU Summit) on Friday. The ECB is expected to keep interest rates, but the market will look at the decision of ECB President Christine Lagarde, who can provide guidance on policy direction.
The dollar weakened to a two-week low yesterday, indicating a reduced safe interest in the currency, after US technology stocks rallied and commodity prices strengthened, although sentiment remained vulnerable amid increasing numbers of corona virus cases in the world, especially in the US. the Nasdaq index rose 0.8%, after yesterday's decline, increasing sentiment for currencies related to risk assets.
The dollar strengthened against other major world currencies yesterday due to the increased spread of the corona virus and lockdown which has re-run in several countries, reducing risk appetite. The US dollar, which is seen as safe haven benefits when investors move away from risky assets.
The dollar weakened yesterday after data showing US service industry activity rose sharply in June, weakening the dollar's safe haven prestige. US ISM non-manufacturing PMI rebounded sharply from a previous contraction of 45.4 in May, to 57.1 in June. This figure far exceeds the expectations of analysts who predicted an increase of 50.0.