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Abstract:A leading indicator gives a signal before the new trend or reversal occurs. These indicators help you profit by predicting what prices will do next. Leading indicators typically work by measuring how “overbought” or “oversold” something is. This is done with the assumption that if a currency pair is “oversold”, it will bounce back.
You would “catch” the entire trend every single time IF the leading indicator was correct every single time. But it won‘t be. When you use leading indicators, you will experience a lot of fakeouts. Leading indicators are notorious for giving bogus signals which could “mislead” you. Get it? Leading indicators that “mislead” you? Haha. Man, we’re so funny we even crack ourselves up. The other option is to use lagging indicators, which aren‘t as prone to bogus signals. Lagging indicators only give signals after the price change is clearly forming a trend. The downside is that you’d be a little late in entering a position.
Often the biggest gains of a trend occur in the first few bars, so by using a lagging indicator you could potentially miss out on much of the profit. And that sucks.
It‘s kinda like wearing bell-bottoms in the 1980s and thinking you’re so cool and hip with fashion…
It‘s kinda like discovering Facebook for the first time when all your friends are already on TikTok… It’s kinda like getting excited buying a new flip phone that now takes photos when the iPhone 11 Pro came out… Lagging indicators have you buy and sell late. But in exchange for missing any early opportunities, they greatly reduce your risk by keeping you on the right side of the market. For the purpose of this lesson, lets broadly categorize all of our technical indicators into one of two categories:
00001. Leading indicators or oscillators
00002. Lagging or trend-following indicators
While the two can be supportive of each other, they‘re more likely to conflict with each other. Lagging indicators don’t work well in sideways markets. Do you know what does though? Leading indicators! Yup, leading indicators perform best in sideways, “ranging” markets. The general approach is that you should use lagging indicators during trending markets and leading indicators during sideways markets. Were not saying that one or the other should be used exclusively, but you must understand the potential pitfalls of each.
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Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.