简体中文
繁體中文
English
Pусский
日本語
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt
Bahasa Indonesia
Español
हिन्दी
Filippiiniläinen
Français
Deutsch
Português
Türkçe
한국어
العربية
Abstract:EUR/USD Forecast: Fresh multi-month lows at sight
EUR/USD Current Price: 1.1884
EU June Economic Sentiment Indicator improved to 117.9 from 114.5.
US Consumer Confidence expected to have improved in June.
EUR/USD is technically bearish and could lose the 1.1800 level.
The EUR/USD pair fell to a fresh one-week low of 1.1882 amid a firmer greenback helped by higher US Treasury yields, up ahead of critical employment data. European stocks are currently advancing, trimming early losses and providing support to Wall Street.
The EU published the June Economic Sentiment Indicator, which improved to 117.9 from 114.5 in the previous month. The German Consumer Price Index edged lower in June, according to preliminary estimates, printing at0.4% MoM and 2.3% YoY. The focus during the American session will be on June CB Consumer Confidence, foreseen at 118.9 from the previous 117.2.
EUR/USD short-term technical outlook
The EUR/USD pair is poised to extend its decline, after losing the 1.1920 level where the pair has the 61.8% retracement of its March/Mary advance. The 4-hour chart shows that a mildly bearish 20 SMA stands a few pips above the mentioned Fibonacci level, while the longer moving averages head firmly lower, far above the current level. Technical indicators accelerated their slides within negative levels, favoring a break through the recent lows in the 1.1840 price zone.
Support levels: 1.1840 1.1795 1.1750
Resistance levels: 1.1920 1.1960 1.2000
(SOURCE: FXSTREET)
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
JPY strengthened against the USD, pushing USD/JPY near 145.00, driven by strong inflation data and BoJ rate hike expectations. Japan's strong Q2 GDP growth added support. However, USD gains may be limited by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
Gold prices remain above $2,500, near record highs, as investors await the Federal Open Market Committee minutes for confirmation of a potential Fed rate cut in September. The Fed's dovish shift, prioritizing employment over inflation, has weakened the US Dollar, boosting gold. A recent revision showing the US created 818,000 fewer jobs than initially reported also strengthens the case for a rate cut.
USD/JPY holds near 145.50, recovering from 144.95 lows. The Yen strengthens on strong GDP, boosting rate hike expectations for the Bank of Japan. However, gains may be limited by potential US Fed rate cuts in September.
Gold prices remain near record highs, driven by expectations of a US interest rate cut and a weakening US Dollar. Investors are focusing on the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech will be closely watched for clues on the Fed's stance. Additionally, the release of US manufacturing data (PMIs) is expected to influence gold's direction.