简体中文
繁體中文
English
Pусский
日本語
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt
Bahasa Indonesia
Español
हिन्दी
Filippiiniläinen
Français
Deutsch
Português
Türkçe
한국어
العربية
Abstract:Sterling trimmed some of its declines versus the euro and the dollar on Thursday after better-than-expected UK PMI numbers for June, but the pound remained vulnerable to political risks and recession fears.
The PMIs preliminary composite index held at 53.1 in June, above the median forecast of 52.6 in a Reuters poll of economists, and unchanged from May.
The pound flattened against the U.S. dollar to $1.2261 at 1505 GMT, having earlier fallen below $1.22.
Against a weakening euro, sterling rose 0.3% on the day at 85.83 pence, having earlier touched a one-week low.. [FRX/]
“Markets are likely reading the UK survey results in comparison with the euro zone ones, which instead showed a larger drop than expected,” said Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at ING.
The numbers “partly – and temporarily – ease some market concerns about the UK economic outlook, supporting the current aggressive Bank of England rate pricing”.
Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank in London, added: “it is a relief to the market that the UK services PMI was not weaker due to the long Jubilee weekend”.
The BoE raised its benchmark rate by 25 bps to 1.25% on June 16 and said it was ready to act “forcefully” if needed to stamp out dangers posed by inflation, despite fears that the rising cost of borrowing could further harm the economy.
Investors were also on watch for further signs of political instability as the ruling Conservative Party was contesting two by-elections on Thursday: one in Tiverton and Honiton in the southwest and another in Wakefield in the north.
A defeat in either place could spur Conservative lawmakers to find a way to oust Prime Minister Boris Johnson after months of scandal.
“Losses for the Tories today will contribute to the ongoing clouds hanging over the PM‘s prospects as party leader,” said Rabobank’s Foley.
“They will therefore likely serve as a reminder of the distractions created by the behaviour of various party officials, which is a negative factor for investment confidence and the pound.”
In the meantime, strikes have crippled Britain‘s rail network this week as union bosses, train operating firms and the government faced off over demands that workers’ pay increases keep pace with galloping inflation, at a 40-year high of 9.1% in May.
Official data published on Thursday showed that surging debt interest costs triggered by the leap in inflation forced the British government to borrow more than expected in May at 14 billion pounds ($17.14 billion).
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
Analyzing last year's trading data offers invaluable insights into market trends, helps refine trading strategies, and enhances decision-making for future trades.
For new traders entering the world of forex, choosing the right broker is one of the most crucial decisions they’ll make. A reliable broker can serve as a trusted partner, providing a platform that’s secure, transparent, and regulated. However, with thousands of options available, selecting the right broker can be overwhelming. That is why WikiFX is here to make things easy for you!
In the world of online trading, a common misconception persists: trading is often seen as no different from gambling. This belief is particularly prevalent among newcomers, who may view the financial markets as a fast-paced game where winning is just a matter of luck. But trading, when done correctly, is far from mere chance!
Saxo Singapore will discontinue SaxoWealthCare and SaxoSelect by December 2024, advising clients to withdraw funds and offering alternative investment options.