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Abstract:In August, the USD/ZAR lived up to its promise and offered speculators a wide trading range; this is likely to continue in September.
The USD/ZAR exchange rate is now hovering at 16.78000 and is very close to recent highs. The USD/ZAR currency pair touched lows at the 16.12000 to 16.10000 range from August 10 through August 14. The USD/ZAR ratio was close to 16.91000 on August 2nd. After falling to lows in the following week, the currency pair eventually managed to rise and reach a high of about 17.14000 on August 23rd. The USD/ZAR has continued to deliver a pretty erratic range of outcomes for the past week.
Although it sometimes seems like there are calm trading circumstances for the USD/ZAR, there may also be dramatic surges. When speculating on the USD/ZAR, entry price orders can be utilized to reduce the risks of abrupt volatility and to offer more dependable price fills that satisfy expectations. The USD/ZAR was unable to break through the top resistance levels despite having retested highs in August at 17.14000 that were close to apex marks that occasionally approached the 17.27000 junction during the third week of July.
The USD/ZAR is still trading in the high reaches of its long-term price range, despite the fact that the top tier of August prices was unable to overturn the July values. Yes, lower marks were undoubtedly considered, and the 16.10000 record, which was contested in August, did reach lows last observed on June 29. The primary takeaway that many speculators would want to remember is that the USD/ZAR range continues to be fairly opportunistic in its pursuit of trends. Global financial behavioral mood is still quite tense; in fact, it could be more tense as September gets started than it was when August started.
In the next months, the U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to adopt a hawkish interest rate strategy, which might, within reason, act as a support barrier for the USD/ZAR.
August highs fell short of the July peak levels, but another bullish run is not completely out of the question if September generates upward momentum over 17.00000.
Fundamentally Seeking Equilibrium at Higher Values and the USD/ZAR
The precious metal may appear oversold to traders who prefer to compare the price of gold to the USD/ZAR, especially if inflationary circumstances are still present in the world economy. The decline in the South African Rand's value, however, could be more related to the unease in the world and the expectation that the US Federal Reserve would keep raising interest rates.
Because the energy industry is still very valuable, central banks have had a hard time finding a solution to increasing prices due to excessive inflation. Technically, the USD/ZAR may appear overbought, but there may be good cause for it to move much higher.
USD/ZAR Outlook for September 2022:
Speculative price range for USD/ZAR is 16.0700 to 17.18100
In the context of momentum trading, traders may seek to explore quick-hitting strategies that draw attention to a range of support and resistance levels. In other words, if the USD/ZAR range stays within specific ratios, a trader may wish to pursue momentum via the stronger direction rather than looking for support or resistance levels to initiate a trade that seeks a reversal in the other direction.
Near the 16.70000 level, where lower values have not been seen since the 18th of August, support for the USD/ZAR looks to be particularly solid. Targeting the 16.64000 to 16.60000 levels for immediate targets may be advantageous if the USD/ZAR goes below the 16.68000 threshold. It is possible that the USD/ZAR might trade lower if the 16.60000 level is shown to be weak, and a fall into the 16.40000 region is not ruled out in September.
It is tempting to believe that the USD/ZAR is overbought when it is trading in the higher ranges of its value, but if the Forex pair is able to break over the 16.80000 level and maintain this level, traders cannot be blamed for believing that the 16.90000 level is a goal. Risk-taking strategies should be carefully considered and implemented. If the USD/ZAR were to begin maintaining a value above the 17.00000 level, this may indicate that there will be more bullish speculative purchasing and that the world's financial markets will continue to be tense.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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