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Abstract:GBPUSD Slides to Flash Crash Lows - US Market Open
MARKET DEVELOPMENT – GBPUSD Slides to Flash Crash Lows
市场发展 - 英镑兑美元下滑至闪电崩盘低位
DailyFX 2019 FX Trading Forecasts
DailyFX 2019外汇交易预测
GBP: The Pound is once again on the backfoot as the currency challenges its 2019 lows. UK data continues to deteriorate with the latest BRC sales report showing sales at UK retailers rose at the slowest pace on record. In turn, this provides yet another reminder that growth in the UK economy is likely to have contracted in Q2. Consequently, amid the backdrop of rising no-deal Brexit risks and with UK data continuing to disappoint, commentary from BoE rate setters will be eyed closely. Reminder, BoEs Tenreyro (Wednesday) and Vlieghe (Friday) are due to speak this week. 2019 lows reside at 1.2435, support at 1.2435-40 being tested as EURGBP oscillates around the 0.9000 handle. Speculators are also very bearish on the Pound.
英镑:由于货币挑战其英镑,英镑再次走在后脚2019年的低点。英国最新的BRC销售报告显示,英国零售商的销售增长速度创历史新高,英国数据继续恶化。反过来,这再次提醒人们英国经济增长可能在第二季度出现萎缩。因此,在英国脱欧风险上升以及英国数据持续令人失望的背景下,英国央行利率制定者的评论将受到密切关注。提醒,BoEs Tenreyro(周三)和Vlieghe(周五)将于本周发言。 2019年低点位于1.2435,支撑位于1.2435-40,因为EURGBP在0.9000手柄附近震荡。投机者对英镑也非常看空。
USD: The greenback has remained bid throughout the European session with eyes focusing on the testimony from Fed Chair Powell. The pricing out of a 50bps cut at the end of the month has continued to underpin the DXY, which in turn has seen EURUSD test 1.1200 on the downside. Fed members Bullard and Bostic due to speak later, however, much of the focus will be placed on Powell tomorrow.
美元:美元在整个欧洲时段仍在竞价,目光集中在证词上来自美联储主席鲍威尔。本月底降息50个基点的定价继续支撑DXY,后者反过来看欧元兑美元下行测试1.1200。美联储成员Bullard和Bostic将在稍后发言,但明天将把重点放在鲍威尔身上。
Source: DailyFX, Thomson Reuters
来源:DailyFX,汤森路透
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This week's economic events include: Japan's Monetary Policy Minutes and U.S. Services PMI on Monday, impacting JPY and USD. Tuesday's RBA Interest Rate Decision affects AUD, with German Factory Orders influencing EUR. Wednesday sees German Industrial Production and U.S. Crude Inventories impacting EUR and USD. Thursday: RBA Governor speaks, with U.S. Jobless Claims. Friday: China's CPI and Canada's Unemployment Rate affect CNY and CAD.
As we approach the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report on August 2, 2024, market participants are keenly observing the data for insights into the U.S. labor market. The report is expected to show an increase of 194,000 to 206,000 jobs for July, indicating modest growth. This suggests potential softening in the labor market. A weaker-than-expected report could prompt the Fed to consider rate cuts, influencing the USD. Major currency pairs and gold prices will likely see volatility around the NFP release
This week, key economic events expected to generate high volatility include China's Q2 GDP and retail sales data, impacting CNY. The US will release Core Retail Sales and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, affecting USD. The UK's CPI data will influence GBP, and the ECB Interest Rate Decision and Press Conference will impact EUR. These events will drive significant market movements due to their influence on monetary policy and economic outlooks.
This week's global market analysis covers significant movements and events. Fed Chairman Powell's cautious stance on interest rates impacts the USD. TSMC benefits from Samsung's strike. Geopolitical tensions rise with Putin's diplomacy. PBOC plans bond sales to stabilize CNY. Key economic events include Core CPI, PPI, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment for the USA, and GDP data for the UK. These factors influence currency movements and market sentiment globally.