Gold Prices Pull Back as US-China Trade War Softens: Support in Sight

Gold Price Outlook:

• The bullish theme in Gold has remained despite overbought readings from a number of vantage points, owing to a potent combination of fundamental factors.

• One of those factors thats been especially worrisome of late seemed to soften overnight. This has helped Gold prices to pull back but, this may not yet be enough to create a larger long-term reversal in the yellow metal.

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The bullish trend in Gold continued at the start of this week as prices pushed up for another fresh six-year-high. Gold touched up to 1555 this week with Gold futures touching 1565 shortly after the weekly open. That early-week strength soon pulled back and prices found support ahead of the US open on Monday. That support held into Tuesday and buyers began to push again mid-week.

Prices are now pulling below the bullish trend that held through Tuesday and Wednesday, with support potential remaining at the same 1527 level that came into play on Monday.

Gold Price Hourly Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Gold on Tradingview

Taking a step back and there could be scope for a deeper pullback here, particularly considering the fundamental backdrop with a softening in the Trade War theme.

But, at this point, RSI on the Daily has continued to diverge as resistance as held, and this goes along with the most overbought readings for that indicator on the weekly chart since 2011, right around the time that Gold prices topped-out above the 1900 level.

Gold Price Daily Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Gold on Tradingview

Support Potential in Gold

Given the strength of the now three-month-old trend combined, short-side strategies may still be difficult to work with. Traders may still prefer to move-forward with a bullish bias until greater evidence of reversal presents itself; but there are nearby points of potential support that can continue to be used for short-term strategy. At 1527-1528 is the support level looked at on Monday. That zone held into Tuesday trade before prices launched-up for a re-test of 1550.

A bit deeper is another Fibonacci level of interest at 1509 as this is the 61.8% retracement of the 2012-2015 major move; and below that is the support level that held last weeks lows through a couple of different tests around the 1492.70 level.

Gold Price Four-Hour Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Gold on Tradingview