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Abstract:After opening the session in negative territory, GBPUSD performed a quick U-turn after UK manufacturing, industrial production and monthly GDP data all beat expectations. And over in Ireland, UK PM Boris Johnson was in a more conciliatory mood.
UK PM Johnson stresses that he wants a Brexit deal by October 31.
UK data beats. Next up UK jobs, wages and employment.
ECB meeting on Thursday may be a game-changer for the Euro.
Q3 2019 GBP and USD Forecasts and Top Trading Opportunities
After opening the week with losses, Sterling performed a quick hand-brake turn and soared into positive territory on a data/Brexit combination. Over in Ireland, PM Boris Johnson told Taoiseach Leo Varadkar that the UK would prefer a deal to a no-deal by October 31, saying that no-deal would be a ‘failure of statecraft’. A slight change of tone but enough to give Sterling a leg higher after earlier, better than expected, UK data had underpinned the British Pound.
DailyFX Economic Calendar
GBPUSD 30 Minute Price Chart (September 5 -9, 2019)
IG Client Sentiment data show that of retail traders are 66.7% net-long of GBPUSD, a bearish contrarian indicator. However, recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a stronger bearish contrarian trading bias.
One pair discussed during the webinar was EURGBP which may see heightened volatility this week ahead of the ECB monetary policy meeting on Thursday. The central bank is expected to cut the deposit rate by 10 basis points to -0.50% and either announce or embark on a fresh QE program to help stave off recessionary pressures in Europe.
Live Data Coverage: ECB Rate Decision - Webinar
Any further Brexit good news combined with a dovish ECB could see the pair challenge recent lows at 0.8892 before heading towards the 200-day moving average currently at 0.8817.
EURGBP Daily Price Chart (December 2018 – September 9, 2019)
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
Daily wise bearish structure, but as 4H shown shift in structure to the topside
GBPUSD has just hit its highest level since late-July and is eyeing further gains on a combination of a marginally stronger Sterling complex and a weak US dollar.
GBPUSD opens the week on the backfoot as Brexit rumours and news flow continue to keep traders on the sidelines. UK data on deck with a look at monthly GDP.
The US Dollar came into the holiday-shortened week with a full head of steam. But that's been soundly reversed. Tomorrow brings NFP and Canadian employment.