Australian Dollar Forecast: Key AUD/USD Levels to Watch

Australian Dollar Analysis and Talking Points

澳元分析和谈话要点

• AUD/USD | Contained by Cluster of DMAs

  AUD / USD |通过DMA的的群集包含

• Australian Dollar Rises on Retail Sales Report

  澳元升起上零售销售报告

• Jobs and Inflation Reports are Pivotal to February Rate Decision

  工作与通货膨胀报告是匹至二月利率决策

AUD/USD | Contained by Cluster of DMAs

AUD / USD |通过DMA的 的聚类

AUD/USDMIXED

AUD / USDMIXED

Data provided by

数据提供了通过

of clients are net long. of clients are net short.

的客户端是净长。客户都是净短。

变化 朗斯 短裤 OI 每日 2％ 2％ 2％ 每周 78％ -32％ 15％

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Overnight, the Australian Dollar had been supported by better than expected retail sales data amid the impact of Black Friday sales. Although, while this may have seen a slight easing of RBA rate cut bets, the seasonal effects in the data somewhat masks the underlying strength of consumption, therefore a clearer image will be provided in the December report. That said, with expectations of a rate cut from the RBA in February split 50/50 focus will be firmly fixed on the Australian jobs report (Jan 23rd) and CPI figures (Jan 29th).

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On the technical front, AUD/USD has been contained between 0.6850-0.6900 as the pair consolidates after its topside rejection from the beginning of the year. On the downside, support is situated at 0.6838, which marks the December 17/18th double bottom and coincides with the 100DMA, while topside resistance hovers around 0.6890-0.6900.

在技术方面，AUD / USD已被遏制0.6850-0.6900从年初其顶侧拒绝后的一对来合并之间。在下部，支撑位于0.6838，这标志着12月17日/ 18双层底，重合与100DMA，同时绕0.6890-0.6900

Implied range for next week (0.6820 – 0.6930)

隐含范围上行阻力悬停下周（0.6820 - 0.6930）

AUD/USD Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (Mar 2019 – Jan 2020)

支持 性 0.6838 十二月17/18双层底 0.6882 昨天高 0.6825 趋势支持 0.6890-0.6900 - 0.6800 12月10日低0.6950-AUD/USD价格走势：每日时间框架（2019年3月 - 2020年1月）

Source: IG

来源：IG