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Abstract:EUR/USD has turned to the downside again in the short term after another false breakout above the major near-term dynamic resistance. The dollar has taken the lead again as the US Dollar Index is trading in the green today and it tries to resume yesterday’s rebound.
EUR/USD has turned to the downside again in the short term after another false breakout above the major near-term dynamic resistance. The dollar has taken the lead again as the US Dollar Index is trading in the green today and it tries to resume yesterdays rebound.
It remains to see what will really happen because the USDX is still under pressure, so a further drop will boost the EUR/USD which could finally escape from a major descending pitchfork.
● USDX Under Pressure
You can see that the USDX has broken below the minor uptrend line, up channels support, signaling that it could drop deeper, now it has come back to retest the broken line and maybe the Pivot Point (97.14).
The dollar index moves in range, between 78.6% and the 61.8% retracement levels, so only a valid breakout from this chart pattern will confirm a clear direction. EUR/USD will register a significant drop only if the USDX will make a valid breakout above the 61.8% level and above the upper median line (UML).
The USDX is vulnerable, so a downside breakout from this minor range and another lower low will suggest buying EUR/USD.
● EUR/USD Imminent Breakout
EUR/USD has come back below the upper median line (UML), but I really believe that another jump above this dynamic resistance will announce a potential valid breakout and a further increase. You can see that the pair has managed to breakout above the minor downtrend line and now it has retested it, so this could represent a first bullish sign.
However, only another higher high or another lower low will bring a perfect trading opportunity, EUR/USD moves sideways in the short term. You can go long if the rate will make a valid breakout above the 1.1348 level, or you can consider going short if EUR/USD will drop and close below the 1.1168 level.
EUR/USD has failed to reach the 1.1348 in the last attempt, it has decreased a little to recapture more bullish energy before it will try once again to escape from the descending pitchforks body and from the minor range.
It is traded above the monthly Pivot Point (1.1252) level, the minor drop could be considered to be only a retest before EUR/USD will resume its upside journey. A valid breakout above the upper median line (UML) and from the extended range will send the pair towards the 1.1495 high and towards the R2 (1.1574) level.
Technically, EUR/USD is bullish and it seems determined to climb higher, the several false breakdowns below the 1.1200 psychological level have confirmed that the buyers are still very strong and that the decrease was only a temporary one.
A valid breakout above the upper median line (UML) is imminent as EUR/USD has stayed this dynamic resistance, the confirmation will be given by the jump and close above the 1.1348 high. I believe that a further increase could be invalidated only by a major bearish engulfing or by a pin bar on the upper median line (UML), if the pair will make a false breakout from this range.
[About The Author]
Olimpiu Tuns
is a seasoned market analyst / trader / trainer on the financial
markets with expertise in forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, futures,
options, index, CFD for more than 8 years. He is also a famous blogger
in both technical and fundamental analysis, trading signals, trade
setups, etc.
He
has worked as a Market Analyst / Consultant for three major Brokerage
companies, Admiral Markets, MultiBank Exchange Group and InstaForex
(live webinars, market analysis, educational materials, video analysis,
video tutorials, ghostwriting, content creator), as a Social Media
Manager and as a Financial Markets & Crypto Analyst / Contributor
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Olimpiu Tuns currently works as a Financial Markets & Crypto Analyst / Signal Provider / Trader / Trainer.
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WikiFX| Daily F.X. Analysis, August 28 |Arslan Ali Butt-KOL
The last three months has been a state of dull to especially swing traders who were riding the bearish trend as there now caught up in a range zone for the stated trading duration period. Earlier in the year, we saw a significant strong bullish move that started right about 1.61034 price handle and as per now it is still holding fort as a credible support level with four retest to the upside. It may not lost on market participants that that level still holds some very worthwhile long limit orders or buys orders from large players and position traders.
GBP/USD edges higher and it’s almost to hit 1.3285 yesterday’s high as the greenback is punished by USDX’s sell-off. The pair has confirmed again that the bullish bias remains intact on the Daily chart. Another higher high, a bullish closure above 1.3285 brings in new long opportunities. USD takes a hit from the US Dollar Index which failed once again to take out a dynamic resistance. USDX is traded at 92.61, right above 92.55 critical support. A valid breakdown validates a deeper drop and EUR/USD bullish run.
Even though my sentiment for this pair is still bearish, as one looks at a text book perfect descending channel and where the upper trend line really being respected as strong support line having being tested four times. Nevertheless, it seems currently as we near close of monthly trading session, either sellers may be giving up ground, facing some bearish trend exhaustion or purely taking out some of the profits if at all not taking out their positions.