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Abstract:Brent crude oil has been on a hot streak since the beginning of the year - and it keeps rising. The price of Brent crude oil has added more than 11% since May, hitting two years high last week. Brent crude oil's price has gained over 50% since the start of the year
The
price of Brent crude oil has added more than 11% since May, hitting two
years high last week. Brent crude oil's price has gained over 50% since
the start of the year, reflecting an economic recovery that is in full
swing.
Why Brent Crude Oil keeps rising
The
burst of the economic demand, supply, and demand dynamics have
supported the rise in the price of Brent Crude oil. Data from the Energy
Information Administration (EIA) showed that production had fallen
almost 1% week-over-week for the week, while gasoline demand rose by 1%.
Organization
of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and OPEC partner countries
limited the supply of oil at the beginning of the year. Furthermore,
OPEC is considering boosting production by 500,000 barrels a day,
according to The Wall Street Journal. OPEC held a meeting last Thursday,
the 1st of July. The report of the meeting will be released on the 15th
of July, 2021.
Brent
crude oil prices were up from $74.50 to $76.71 on Thursday, making a
new high for the year and its highest price in two years. Brent crude
oil is now trading above 2019 high and approaching 2018 high.
Goldman
Sachs' prediction, at the beginning of June, was that the price of
Brent crude oil will hit $80 per barrel by the third quarter of this
year. Although, more upside is expected by 2022. This remark was made
when discussing the nuclear deal between the U.S. and Iran.
In
fact, if you told me Irans not coming back, our $80 forecast is way
too low relative to where the oil market is heading by 2022,
Technical Analysis
The
steady rise in the price of Brent Crude oil has been smooth. It made it
easy for buyers to go through supply areas without any difficulty. The
2019 high was removed easily and the next supply area is at $84, which
is a 2018 high.
The
price might react from the $80 psychological price area as all eyes lie
in this price area. Therefore, the price of Brent crude oil might keep
rising for the next few weeks. The gap between the 200-day and 50-day MA
continues to widen. Price is trading way above the 50-day MA at the
moment.
Price
is likely to look for support on both intraday and interday timeframes
before continuing its upward movement. Brent crude oil is still bullish,
and more upside is expected.
XRPUSD
Ripple and Litecoin pulled back the same way by forming a channel after the new-low was created.
Failure
to break above $0.7 will see price return to the recent low at $0.54.
And a break above $0.7 will see the price rally back to $0.8.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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