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Abstract:Gold (XAU/USD) returns to the buyer‘s plate, after a brief disappearance, as upbeat equities join the US dollar south-run to keep the yellow metal above $1,800. Also contributing to the metal’s bullish bias is the rush towards risk-safety amid inflation fears, flagged recently by the ECB and the BOE.
Gold seesaws around weekly tops after Thursdays central bank actions renewed bullish bias.
US dollar needs positive surprise from NFP to justify firmer yields, risk catalysts are important too.
US January Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Analyzing gold's reaction to NFP surprises
In doing so, the precious metal consolidates the previous weeks losses, the heaviest weekly fall since November, with eyes on the US jobs report for January. Also important are the geopolitical fears surrounding Russia as Moscow warns the West to not escalate tensions.
Read: Gold ended January glued to $1,800. will it ever detach?
Gold Price: Key levels to watch
The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price floats around a powerful resistance near $1,809, the intersection of the previous days high and Fibonacci 38.2% of the weekly and monthly ranges.
Should the bulls manage to conquer the stated resistance, SMA10 one-day and the first resistance on the daily Pivot Points will test the upside momentum around $1,812.
During the quotes upside past $1,812, the second resistance on the daily Pivot Points and 161.8% Fibonacci retracement on one-day, around $1,823, will act as an intermediate halt before highlighting the last defense for the bears surrounding $1,826 that includes Fibonacci 61.8% of the weekly and monthly moves.
Alternatively, the immediate downside cushion is seen at the $1,807 level that comprises 200-DMA and SMA10 on 4H.
Following that, 100-DMA and Fibonacci 61.8% one-day will challenge the bears around $1,801.
However, major attention is given to the $1,797 level comprising Fibonacci 23.6% of the weekly and monthly trading performance.
To sum up, gold buyers keep reins but a clear upside break of $1,809 becomes necessary for further ruling.
Here is how it looks on the tool
About Technical Confluences Detector
The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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Wednesday's major data releases and macroeconomic events are expected to cause volatility to increase after another day of erratic trading in the financial markets. The Spring Budget for the UK will be released, and January Retail Sales figures for January will be made available by Eurostat. ADP Employment Change for February and January JOLTS Job Openings will be discussed later in the session on the US economic docket.
Major currency pairings are still trading in familiar ranges early on Tuesday after the erratic trading on Monday. The US economic docket for the American session will include the factory orders data for January and the ISM Services PMI survey for February. Final updates to the February PMI for the US, Germany, the UK, and the EU will also be released by S&P.