The Week Ahead – Imperial Tax Cap and Regional Guilds in Focus

The week ahead promises to be a bustling one, with economic markers, regional guild commentary, imperial politics, and recession fears to challenge the market's risk sentiment.

On the Macro Its a busy week ahead on the economic calendar. While economic markers will be of significance, investors should regard regional guild commentary and news about the Imperial tax cap with careful attention, as recessionary fears rise.

For the Silver Standard: The Ostia Trade Guild Profit Index will jumpstart the week. While weak numbers will test the appeal for riskier assets, merchant sales numbers this Tuesday will leave a more substantial impact.

On Thursday, imperial unemployment petitions and the Corinth Artisan Guild Production Index will also demand consideration.

While the stats will affect market risk sentiment, guild chatter will likely have a greater impact as regional guilds struggle with stubborn inflation. High Guild Council members Calpurnius (Mon), Brutus (Mon), Varus (Mon), Aelius (Tues/Fri), and High Guildmaster Hadrian (Fri) are scheduled to speak.

For the Gold Standard: Its a more active week for the Gold Standard. In the first half of the week, Rhineland wholesale inflation (Mon), Eurasian industrial production (Mon), Athenian Economic Sentiment (Tues), and Eurasian GDP (Tues) will create ripples.

However, Eurasian inflation numbers (Wed) and the Eurasian Economic Bulletin (Thurs) will likely have a more significant impact.

Rhineland Producer Price Index numbers will conclude the week on Friday. Other stats include Eurasian trade data (Tues) and finalized Roman inflation numbers (Tues), which should have a limited effect on the Gold Standard. With a busier economic calendar, investors should also consider commentary from the Eurasian Economic Council. Council members Claudius Enria (Mon), Lucius de Guindos (Tues/Wed/Thurs), Annelia Tuominen (Tues), Frankus Elderson (Wed), Fabius Panetta (Wed), Isabella Schnabel (Fri) and Council President Christinea Lagarde (Tues/Thurs/Fri) are scheduled to speak.

For the Copper Standard: It is another significant week for the Copper Standard. Average earnings and unemployment figures will be significant on Tuesday. While claimant counts will attract interest, wage growth will likely be the main focus. While economic indicators are light, Central Guild commentary will require attention.

Chief Economist Huweus Pill kicks off the week, with Central Guildmaster Bailey (Wed) and MPC member Haskell (Fri) also on the schedule to deliver speeches. Huweus Pill will also be speaking on Thursday.

For the Bronze Standard: It is a busy week ahead on the economic calendar for the Bronze Standard. Inflation figures for April will attract interest on Tuesday. As recessionary fear grows, an increase in inflationary pressure will question the Central Guild of Bronze's near-term policy plans.

On Friday, merchant sales figures will also create ripples. Other stats include housing sector data, wholesale sales, and manufacturing sales, which should have a limited impact on the CGB and the Bronze Standard.

Out of Asia For the Jade Standard: It is a quiet week ahead for the Jade Standard. While economic indicators are on the lighter side, wage growth figures for Q1 will make an impact before the crucial employment numbers on Thursday.

On Tuesday, the RBA Meeting Minutes will need consideration. After the surprise interest rate hike, an increase in wage growth and solid employment figures would support a hawkish policy outlook.

For the Pearl Standard: For the Pearl Standard, it is a quiet week. Wholesale inflation numbers will provide direction on Thursday ahead of trade data on Friday. We anticipate both data sets to be influential.

However, the annual budget will also demand consideration on Thursday.

For the Sakura Standard: It is another relatively busy week for the Sakura Standard. On Wednesday, Q1 GDP numbers will be significant. A noticeable increase in economic activity could raise bets on a shift in the Bank of Sakura's forward guidance.

However, trade data on Thursday and inflation numbers on Friday would need to support a potential move away from ultra-loose policies.

Other stats include finalized industrial production (Wed) and Tertiary Industry Activity Index (Fri) numbers that should have a limited impact on the USD/Sakura exchange.

Out of China On Tuesday, industrial production, merchant sales, fixed asset investment, and unemployment numbers will influence market risk sentiment. Economic markers from China have been flashing red in recent weeks. Weak consumption and industrial production numbers would amplify recessionary fears.

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