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Abstract:Decoding Market Moves: Unveiling Potential in Recent Record-Highs and Currency Dynamics
Market Wrap - Stocks, Bonds, Commodities
Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Trading Central! These are starting points for your research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
Friday saw record-high closes for all major U.S. stock indexes, with the Dow Jones rising 395 points (+1.05%) to 37,863, the S&P 500 up 58 points (+1.23%) to 4,839, and the Nasdaq 100 up 331 points (+1.95%) to 17,314.
Leading sectors were Semiconductors, Banks, and Media.
Notable stock performances include Nvidia (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), and Microsoft (MSFT) closing at record highs.
In contrast, iRobot (IRBT) plunged 26.93% on concerns of the EU blocking its acquisition by Amazon.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield slightly eased to 4.130%.
Forex Market Wrap:
The U.S. dollar softened against major currencies, with the dollar index retreating to 103.24.
Key movements include EUR/USD climbing to 1.0895 and USD/JPY remaining little changed at 148.14.
GBP/USD remained flat at 1.2704, and AUD/USD rose to 0.6597.
Bitcoin lacked upward momentum, hovering around $41,600.
GBP/USD Intraday Analysis:
Pivot: 1.2680
Preference: Long positions above 1.2680 with targets at 1.2735 & 1.2750.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.2680, look for further downside with targets at 1.2660 & 1.2645.
Comment: RSI is bullish, signaling further upside.
USD/JPY Intraday Analysis:
Pivot: 148.30
Preference: Short positions below 148.30 with targets at 147.60 & 147.30.
Alternative scenario: Above 148.30, look for further upside with targets at 148.50 & 148.80.
Comment: Risk of breaking below 147.60 remains high as long as resistance at 148.30 is not surpassed.
EUR/USD Intraday Analysis:
Pivot: 1.0875
Preference: Long positions above 1.0875 with targets at 1.0920 & 1.0935.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.0875, look for further downside with targets at 1.0860 & 1.0845.
Comment: RSI is above neutrality area at 50, supporting further upside.
Dow Jones (CME) Intraday Analysis:
Pivot: 37880.00
Preference: Long positions above 37880.00 with targets at 38310.00 & 38430.00.
Alternative scenario: Below 37880.00, look for further downside with targets at 37670.00 & 37530.00.
Comment: Next resistances at 38310.00 and 38430.00.
Please note that due to market volatility, some key levels may have already been reached, and scenarios played out.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded sideways against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, staying just below the seven-month high of 0.6798 reached on Monday. The downside for the AUD/USD pair is expected to be limited due to differing policy outlooks between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve. The RBA Minutes indicated that a rate cut is unlikely soon, and Governor Michele Bullock affirmed the central bank's readiness to raise rates again if necessary to combat inflation.
Bitcoin traded above $60,000 on Friday, gaining over 4% this week but staying within a $57,000 to $62,000 range for the past 15 days. On-chain data reveals mixed signals, with institutions accumulating while some large holders are selling. Inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs and potential volatility from ongoing Mt.Gox fund movements could impact Bitcoin's price in the coming days.
In conclusion, while it is theoretically possible to make $1 million at once in forex trading, achieving such a remarkable feat requires exceptional expertise, meticulous risk management, and a deep understanding of the complexities of the market. Aspiring traders should approach forex trading with rational expectations, a focus on continuous improvement, and an emphasis on preserving capital as the foundation for long-term success in this dynamic and challenging market.
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