Upbeat U.S. GDP Report to Keep EURUSD Rate Under Pressure

Trading the News: U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

交易新闻：美国国内生产总值（GDP）

Updates to the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report may keep the EUR/USD exchange rate under pressure as the growth rate is expected to increase 2.3% after expanding 2.2% during the last three-months of 2018.

更新美国国内生产总值（GDP）报告可能会保持欧元/美元汇率不变在2018年最后三个月增长2.2％之后，预计增长率将增长2.3％。

A pickup in economic activity should heighten the appeal of the U.S. dollar as it boosts the outlook for growth and inflation, and little to no signs of a looming recession may encourage the Federal Reserve to further normalize monetary policy in 2019 as ‘some participants indicated that if the economy evolved as they currently expected, with economic growth above its longer-run trend rate, they would likely judge it appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate modestly later this year.’

经济活动的回升应该会提高美元的吸引力推动了经济增长和通货膨胀的前景，而且几乎没有出现迫在眉睫的经济衰退迹象可能会鼓励美联储在2019年进一步实现货币政策正常化，因为一些参与者表示如果经济发展如他们目前的预期由于经济增长高于其长期趋势，他们可能会认为适当提高今年晚些时候适度提高联邦基金利率的目标范围。 / p>

In turn, a positive development may spark a bullish reaction in the greenback, but a batch of lackluster data prints may generate a mixed reaction especially as the core Personal Consumption Expenditure, the Feds preferred gauge for inflation, is expected to narrow to 1.4% from 1.8% during the same period.

反过来，积极的发展可能会引发美元的看涨反应，但一批数据平淡无奇的打印可能会产生混合反应，尤其是作为核心个人消费支出，联邦调查局首选通货膨胀指标预计将从同期的1.8％缩小至1.4％。

Sign up and join DailyFX Currency Analyst David Song LIVEto cover the fresh updates to the U.S. GDP report.

注册并加入DailyFX货币分析师David Song LIVE，以涵盖美国GDP的最新更新报告。

Impact that the U.S. GDP report had on EUR/USD during the previous release

美国GDP报告在上一次发布期间对欧元/美元的影响

4Q U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Period 数据已发布 估计 实际 点差变化（事件后1小时） 点差变化（日后事件结束） 4Q A2018 02/28/2019 13:30:00 GMT 2.2％ 2.6％ -19 -35 第四季度美国国内生产总值（GDP）

EUR/USD 10-Minute Chart

欧元/美元10分钟图表

The advance U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report showed the economy growing 2.6% during the last three-months of 2018 after expanding 3.4% per annum during the previous period. A deeper look at the report showed the gauge for Personal Consumption increasing 2.8% versus projections for a 3.0% print, while the core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), the Federal Reserves preferred gauge for inflation, unexpectedly climbed to 1.7% from 1.6% during the same period.

美国国内生产总值（GDP）报告显示在上一期间每年增长3.4％之后，2018年最后三个月的经济增长率为2.6％。对该报告的深入研究显示，个人消费指数增长2.8％，而预测为3.0％，而个人核心数据则为消费支出（PCE）是联邦储备银行通胀的首选指标，从同期的1.6％意外攀升至1.7％。

The U.S. dollar gained ground following the above-forecast GDP print, with EUR/USD slipping below the 1.1400 handle to close the day at 1.1371. Review the DailyFX Advanced Guide for Trading the News to learn our 8 step strategy.

在上述预测后美元上涨国内生产总值打印，欧元/美元跌破1.1400关口，收盘于1.1371。查看DailyFX交易新闻高级指南，了解我们的8步策略。

EUR/USD Rate Daily Chart

EUR /美元汇率每日图表

• There appears to be a broader shift in EUR/USD behavior as the exchange rate threatens the wedge/triangle formation from earlier this year, with the near-term outlook mired by the failed attempt to test the 1.1340 (38.2% expansion) hurdle.

  似乎有由于汇率威胁到今年早些时候的楔形/三角形形成，近期前景因未能尝试测试1.1340（38.2％扩张）障碍而陷入困境，因此欧元/美元行为将发生更广泛的转变。

• At the same time, recent developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) offer a bearish signal as the oscillator snaps the upward trend from earlier this year.

  与此同时，近期相对强弱指数（RSI）的发展提供看跌信号，因为振荡器从今年早些时候开始上升趋势。

• In turn, the break/close below the 1.1190 (38.2% retracement) to 1.1220 (78.6% retracement) region brings the 1.1100 (78.6% expansion) to 1.1140 (78.6% expansion) zone on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around 1.0950 (100% expansion) to 1.0980 (78.6% retracement).

  反过来，突破/收盘跌破1.1190（38.2％回撤位）至1.1220（78.6％回撤位）区域将1.1100（78.6％扩张）推升至1.1140 （雷达78.6％）区域，下一个利息区域在1.0950附近（100％扩张）至1.0980（78.6％回撤位）。

For more in-depth analysis, check out the 2Q 2019 Forecast for EUR/USD

如需进一步深入分析，请查看2019年第二季度欧元/美元预测