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Abstract:The Euro continues its battle with the US dollar and may push higher if the 200-day moving average finally gives way.
EURUSD Price, Chart and Analysis:
EURUSD价格,图表和分析:
EURUSD battles with technical resistance as short positions are reduced.
欧元兑美元与技术阻力争夺,因为空头头寸为
ECB President Mario Draghi speaks on Wednesday.
欧洲央行行长马里奥·德拉吉周三发表讲话。
Q2 2019 EUR Forecast and USD Top Trading Opportunities
2019年第二季度欧元预测和美元最热门交易机会
EURUSD continues to trade either side of 1.1300 Monday and may resume its move higher as US dollar traders continue to price-in Fridays lowly US non-farm payroll numbers. The single currency is pushing ahead despite seeing the 10-year Italy-German yield spread widening again - currently around 268 basis points – as investors trim their EUR short positions.
欧元兑美元周一继续在1.1300的任何一方交易,并可能继续走高,因为美元交易商继续定价 - 周五美国非农就业数据低迷。尽管看到10年期意大利 - 德国收益率差距再次扩大 - 目前约为268个基点 - 随着投资者削减其欧元空头头寸,单一货币仍在继续推进。
EUR and JPY Shorts Cut as USD Bulls Scale Back – COT Report
欧元和日元随着美元多头回落缩减短片 - COT报告
There is little heavyweight data in the week ahead although ECB President Mario Draghi will be speaking on Wednesday and, as always, his words need to be carefully listened to, especially after last weeks monetary policy meeting. The ECB said that rates would stay lower for longer and subsequent commentary that rate cuts had been discussed underlined the weakness in the Euro-Zone with growth weak and inflation anemic.
尽管欧洲央行行长马里奥德拉吉将于周三发表讲话并且一如既往地需要他的言论,但本周几乎没有重量级数据要仔细聆听,特别是在上周的货币政策会议之后。欧洲央行表示利率会持续较长时间以及随后的评论,即已经讨论过降息措施,强调欧元区疲软,增长乏力,通胀疲软。
Recent data from CLS, a major FX-settlement service provider, showed that foreign exchange turnover fell by 9.6% year-on-year in May as a lack of volatility pushed traders to the sidelines.
最近的数据来自CLS是一家主要的外汇结算服务提供商,其显示5月份外汇交易额同比下降9.6%,因为缺乏波动使交易者望而行。
EURUSD is currently pressing the 200-day ma, a technical indicator that has held sway for over a year. Although broken, the pair have not yet closed above the long-term indicator, but current momentum suggests this battle will continue in the short-term. A close above would open the way to 1.1348 before 1.1450, the March 20 lower high comes into play.
欧元兑美元目前正在逼迫200日均线,这是一项持续一年多的技术指标。虽然破裂,但该货币对尚未收于长期指标之上,但目前的势头表明这场战斗将在短期内持续。收盘价将在1.1450之前开启1.1348,3月20日的下方高位开始发挥作用。
EURUSD Daily Price Chart (November 2018 – June 10, 2019)
EURUSD每日价格走势图(2018年11月 - 2019年6月10日)
Retail traders are 39.7% net-long EURUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bullish contrarian indicator. However recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a stronger contrarian bullish bias.
根据最新的IG客户情绪数据,零售交易商的净多头欧元兑美元为39.7%,这是一个看涨的逆势指标。每日和每周的位置变化给我们带来更强烈的反向看涨偏见。
Disclaimer:
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USD/JPY (USD/JPY), an increase is expected as the Bank of Japan may reduce bond purchases and lay the groundwork for future rate hikes. Technical indicators show an ongoing uptrend with resistance around 157.8 to 160.
A Rat Race to the bottom in the rescue of the Dollar
Analysis for the week ahead: Markets remain worried by global recession fears
EUR/USD continues to tumble, with no sign yet of a rally or even a near-term bounce.. The pair has dropped already beneath the support line of a downward-sloping channel in place since late May this year to its lowest level since July 2020 and there is now little support between here and 1.1170. From a fundamental perspective, the Euro is suffering from a continued insistence by the European Central Bank that much higher Eurozone interest rates are not needed.