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Abstract:Sterling (GBP) attempts to push higher Monday but the market is overshadowed by a growing political crisis in Hong Kong, taking risk off the table.
Sterling (GBP) Pairs - Prices, Charts and Analysis:
英镑(GBP)对 - 价格,图表和分析:
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Financial markets start the week in risk-off mode.
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Heavyweight data may support Sterling but is unlikely to send it much higher.
重量级数据可能支持英镑,但不太可能将其发送得更高。
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Q3 2019 GBP Currency Forecasts andTop Trading Opportunities
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Keep up to date with all key economic data and event releases via the DailyFX Economic Calendar
通过DailyFX经济日历了解所有关键经济数据和事件发布日期
UK Data May Prove Sterling (GBP) Supportive
英国数据可能证明英镑(英镑)支持
Some heavyweight UK data releases this week that are expected to show that the UK jobs and wages market remain strong and the inflation is at target, leaving the Bank of England with a problem. While this, expected, data would normally push the BoE to hike rates, Brexit remains the main driver of UK monetary policy and in the case of a no-deal Brexit, the next move in UK interest rates is lower. Sterling remains weak against both the USD and EUR and if data disappoints, a further break lower should be expected.
本周发布的一些重量级英国数据预计将显示英国就业和工资市场依然强劲且通胀处于目标水平,使英格兰银行陷入困境。虽然这一预期的数据通常会推动英国央行加息,英国脱欧仍然是英国货币政策的主要驱动因素,而在英国脱欧的情况下,英国利率下一步走势较低。英镑兑美元和欧元仍然疲弱,如果数据令人失望,预计会进一步下跌。
Brexit headlines are limited due to the Parliamentary recess but there is growing talk that a group of Remainer MPs will try and stop PM Johnson from leaving the EU without a deal by calling for a vote of no confidence. The PMs special advisor Dominic Cummings has already said that it is too late to try and derail the process, although in UK politics, anything is possible.
由于议会休会,英国退欧的头条新闻有限,但人们越来越多地谈论一群Remainer国会议员将试图通过呼吁不信任投票来阻止PM Johnson离开欧盟而没有达成协议。总干事特别顾问多米尼克·卡明斯已经说,现在试图破坏这一过程为时已晚,尽管在英国政治中,任何事情都有可能。
GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (February – August 12, 2019)
英镑兑美元每日价格走势图(2月 - 2019年8月12日)
Retail traders are 77.5% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. However recent daily and weekly positional changes give us a stronger GBPUSD bearish bias.
据最新的IG客户情绪数据显示,零售交易商的净多头英镑兑美元为77.5%指示符。然而,最近的每日和每周位置变化给我们带来了更强劲的英镑兑美元看跌偏见。
EURGBP has edged lower after making a new high earlier in the session. Since then the pair have sold-off and for EURGBP to press to its next target – 0.9435 made in October 2016 – then it will need to close above 0.93067.
欧元兑英镑在盘中创出新高之后小幅走低。从那时起对了在欧元兑美元下挫以及下一个目标 - 2016年10月制定的0.9435 - 然后它将需要收于0.93067以上。
EURGBP Daily Price Chart (October 2018 – August 12, 2019)
EURGBP每日价格走势图(2018年10月 - 2019年8月12日)
Retail traders are 18.9% net-long EURGBP, a bullish contrarian indicator. However recent changes in daily and weekly sentiment suggest that the pair may soon reverse lower.
零售交易商净多头EURGBP为18.9%,这是一个看涨的逆势指标。然而,近期和每周情绪的近期变化表明该货币对可能很快反转走低。
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Disclaimer:
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After opening the session in negative territory, GBPUSD performed a quick U-turn after UK manufacturing, industrial production and monthly GDP data all beat expectations. And over in Ireland, UK PM Boris Johnson was in a more conciliatory mood.
GBPUSD opens the week on the backfoot as Brexit rumours and news flow continue to keep traders on the sidelines. UK data on deck with a look at monthly GDP.
UK asset markets are in a limbo this week with little hard UK data to look forward to. Later in the week, the FOMC minutes and on Friday, FOMC chair Jerome Powell speaks at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Sterling (GBP) is little changed after slightly better-than-expected UK wages and Labour data as Brexit remains the driver of the British Pound.