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Abstract:Weekly Projections/Analysis on the GBP/USD
The main event of recent weeks remains the stimulus package for the US economy, which Republicans and Democrats still cannot come to agreement on.
After Trump issued a series of executive orders that cut off funding for a number of key points, the parties clearly decided that there is no need to rush.
Over the entire past week, they have regressed rather than progressed in the negotiation process.
Based on this approach, they can be in a deadlock for a while - until September or even longer.
This is negative news for the dollar, especially considering that last week US retail sales and industrial production came out worse than experts expected.
Moreover, since China reported another decline in retail sales, which suggests that the country's consumer sector has not yet recovered from the consequences of the pandemic.
Meanwhile, the UK economy has officially entered a state of recession, demonstrating the highest decline in the country's history in the second quarter and becoming one of the worst in Europe (even worse than Spain with its -18%).
The situation with the pandemic in the United States has improved significantly over the week, but in the world, it continues to remain consistently difficult, as the improvement in the United States was offset by a worsening in other countries.
The news that Russia has an effective vaccine for the day rocked the financial markets, but most developed countries said that there was no trust in it, and in the United States they generally noted that they would not even prick monkeys for testing purposes.
As for the coming week, in terms of statistics, it promises to be relatively calm.
So, the markets will continue to follow the opposition between Republicans and Democrats, as well as the United States and China. In addition, another round of trade negotiation between the EU and the UK kicks off on Tuesday.
Authors Biography
Bola Akinya is a Forex trader and consultant with more than 20 years of immense experience in Forex Indices, Commodities and Currencies.
Prior to becoming a professional Trader, she held positions as a Head of Sales/Business Developer with Credit Registry and Operations Manager with Peak Merchant Bank both in Nigeria before moving to UK where she worked with great companies like AIG and The Wealth Training Company as Course Instructor and Speaker for over 15 years on the FX and Stock Markets before she started her own company – The Learn and Earn Forex Training Company over 6 years ago.
Over the years, she learned 121 from Top traders all over the UK which enabled her to develop her own unique strategies and trading systems that has made her a successful trader and Trainer.
She is married with 2 boys and 2 cats.
With the combined use of Fundamental and Technical analysis, she trades on the short term – medium term, as well as Economic News releases, combining both to give the consistency that is required for successful trades.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
WikiFX| Daily F.X. Analysis, August 28 |Arslan Ali Butt-KOL
The last three months has been a state of dull to especially swing traders who were riding the bearish trend as there now caught up in a range zone for the stated trading duration period. Earlier in the year, we saw a significant strong bullish move that started right about 1.61034 price handle and as per now it is still holding fort as a credible support level with four retest to the upside. It may not lost on market participants that that level still holds some very worthwhile long limit orders or buys orders from large players and position traders.
GBP/USD edges higher and it’s almost to hit 1.3285 yesterday’s high as the greenback is punished by USDX’s sell-off. The pair has confirmed again that the bullish bias remains intact on the Daily chart. Another higher high, a bullish closure above 1.3285 brings in new long opportunities. USD takes a hit from the US Dollar Index which failed once again to take out a dynamic resistance. USDX is traded at 92.61, right above 92.55 critical support. A valid breakdown validates a deeper drop and EUR/USD bullish run.
Even though my sentiment for this pair is still bearish, as one looks at a text book perfect descending channel and where the upper trend line really being respected as strong support line having being tested four times. Nevertheless, it seems currently as we near close of monthly trading session, either sellers may be giving up ground, facing some bearish trend exhaustion or purely taking out some of the profits if at all not taking out their positions.