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Abstract:With COVID-19 still raging the whole world, fatal negatives have thrust global aviation and tourism on the edge of a precipice, but lose strengths in the face of international oil prices which keep climbing against the trend of economics. Oil prices are free of punishment for several reasons, for example, the weak greenback, the bullish U.S. stock markets, the sharp cuts in production of oil-producing nations, and the hype from time to time that vaccine is coming to market.
With COVID-19 still raging the whole world, fatal negatives have thrust global aviation and tourism on the edge of a precipice, but lose strengths in the face of international oil prices which keep climbing against the trend of economics. Oil prices are free of punishment for several reasons, for example, the weak greenback, the bullish U.S. stock markets, the sharp cuts in production of oil-producing nations, and the hype from time to time that vaccine is coming to market.
Although the U.S. and China have delayed the trade talks initially set on August 15, the immediate news that China will massively purchase crude oil from the U.S. may explains, to some degree, why oil prices has not edged down recently. It is reported that China has planned to import at least 20 million barrels of U.S. crude for August and September. The record-high amount boosts the oil markets, pushing WTI towards the highest level of $48.65 since March.
Ive shared my opinion about this U.S. presidential election in an investment speech: Oil prices may be punished once the Democratic Party is again in government. This is because firstly this Party tends to achieve economic development by low oil prices; secondly, high oil prices will benefit Russia's economy but the relation between the Party and Russia had always been poor. One of the historic slumps in oil happened when Democrat Obama announced sanctions against Russia in 2014, with the prices tumbling to $26 from the high level of $107.56.
The Democratic Party will probably rejoin to the Iran nuclear agreement once return to power, greatly easing the geopolitical tension in the Middle East. To this end, I suppose that the triumph of the Democratic candidate Bidden will trigger significant correction in oil prices.
[About The Author]
Since 1987, Jasper Lo has been engaged in the financial industry
(forex, futures and gold) for more than 32 years and holds forex R.O.,
securities and futures broker licenses. Mr Lo is an expert in trading
forex, precious metals and commodity futures and an basic and technical
analyst.
Over the years, Mr Lo won many individual and team sales champion
awards, as well as outstanding employee awards. He was invited, as a
guest mentor, to the University of Hong Kong, Guangdong Ocean University
and Guangzhou Jinan University. And he was also appointed as the chief
training consultant by Hantang Securities and Dongguan Securities in
China.
Mr Lo's experience as guest of honor invited by media including Chinese and English newspapers and columnist:
-Guest of honor invited by TVB New Channels such as Finance Channel, Forex Focus, Global Watch
-Guest of honor invited by Now Finance Channel - Forex Reports
-Guest of honor invited by i-CABLE Finance Info Channel - Forex Opportunities
-Guest of honor invited by ViuTV - Investor Smarter Group
-Columnist of Finance and Forex Market of Ming Pao
-Presenter of Finance and Forex Forecast of Ming Pao
-Presenter of Investment 36 Stratagem and Technical Analysis in 1 Min of Ming Bao Finance
-Appointed lecturer of Ming Pao Investment Seminar and Paid Course
-Author of the best seller Investment 36 Stratagem
-Columnist of Forex Expert, Forex Analyst, Marathon Weekly of ET Net
-Guest of honor of Open Good Morning of ET Net
-Guest of honor of Metro Finance Channel - Market Opening, Instant
Market Fighting, Guangdong-Hong Kong Finance, Finances Power, Market
Analysis
-Guest of honor of New Era of Investment of RTHK
-Columnist of Capital Commodities of Capital Weekly
-Guest Presenter of Wang Guanyi Online Finance Channel - Fund and Commercial Bond
-Columnist of Wealthub Finance and Investment Smart Platform of Enrich Culture
-Guest presenter of Weekly Investment in the World of Enrich Culture
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WikiFX| Daily F.X. Analysis, August 28 |Arslan Ali Butt-KOL
The last three months has been a state of dull to especially swing traders who were riding the bearish trend as there now caught up in a range zone for the stated trading duration period. Earlier in the year, we saw a significant strong bullish move that started right about 1.61034 price handle and as per now it is still holding fort as a credible support level with four retest to the upside. It may not lost on market participants that that level still holds some very worthwhile long limit orders or buys orders from large players and position traders.
GBP/USD edges higher and it’s almost to hit 1.3285 yesterday’s high as the greenback is punished by USDX’s sell-off. The pair has confirmed again that the bullish bias remains intact on the Daily chart. Another higher high, a bullish closure above 1.3285 brings in new long opportunities. USD takes a hit from the US Dollar Index which failed once again to take out a dynamic resistance. USDX is traded at 92.61, right above 92.55 critical support. A valid breakdown validates a deeper drop and EUR/USD bullish run.
Even though my sentiment for this pair is still bearish, as one looks at a text book perfect descending channel and where the upper trend line really being respected as strong support line having being tested four times. Nevertheless, it seems currently as we near close of monthly trading session, either sellers may be giving up ground, facing some bearish trend exhaustion or purely taking out some of the profits if at all not taking out their positions.