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Abstract: The 2024 U.S. presidential election is garnering significant global attention. The policies of candidates Trump and Harris differ substantially, potentially leading to varied impacts on the U.S. stock market. This article analyzes the risks and opportunities their policies may bring to various industries and asset classes.
The 2024 U.S. presidential election is garnering significant global attention. The policies of candidates Trump and Harris differ substantially, potentially leading to varied impacts on the U.S. stock market. This article analyzes the risks and opportunities their policies may bring to various industries and asset classes.
If Trump Wins: Focus on Traditional Industries and Trade Liberalization Trumps policies are aimed at promoting economic growth through deregulation and tax cuts, with an emphasis on energy and market expansion.
Industry Impact
If Trump wins, lowered corporate taxes and deregulation could lead to gains in the U.S. stock market and major indexes.
If Harris Wins: Balancing Social Welfare and Environmental Protection Harris prioritizes social welfare and environmental protection, aiming to boost green economic growth and social equity. Her policies could stimulate the new energy sector and consumer market.
Industry Impact
Harris‘s policies, which include support for electric vehicles (EVs), could drive copper demand and increase its prices. However, her tax increases might negatively affect profitability in the tech and retail sectors compared to Trump’s policies. Additionally, regulatory pressure on AI security and antitrust measures may present risks for tech companies.
Assets Likely to Perform Well Regardless of Election Outcome: Gold With rising election uncertainty, gold is drawing attention as a safe asset. Investors may prioritize gold to hedge against market volatility.
Summary
Disclaimer This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Make investment decisions at your own risk.
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As the 2024 U.S. presidential race approaches, investors worldwide are closely watching potential outcomes and their implications for global markets. While a 269-269 Electoral College tie between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remains unlikely, its occurrence would set the stage for an unprecedented period of political uncertainty, triggering a contingent election decided by Congress. Such uncertainty would ripple across forex, stock, and oil markets, where stability and predictability are prized. Here’s a look at how a tie could affect these key financial sectors.
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