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Abstract:XAUUSD Gold prices are on the rise, defying the impact of newly imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. Mounting concerns over a prolonged trade war are weighing on the dollar, despite grow
XAUUSD
Gold prices are on the rise, defying the impact of newly imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. Mounting concerns over a prolonged trade war are weighing on the dollar, despite growing inflationary pressures. While tariffs traditionally drive inflation higher, the broader effect on U.S. trade could prove more damaging, fueling further uncertainty. Against this backdrop, gold continues to attract buyers. The MACD has turned lower, hinting at a potential dip, but with the RSI hovering near oversold territory, the likelihood of a deeper decline appears limited. A retest of key support remains possible, yet the EMA200 is holding firm, reinforcing golds bullish outlook.
SILVER
Silver is following suit, benefiting from the dollars recent struggles. As gold strengthens, silver stands to gain traction, particularly once gold approaches overbought levels. The MACD reflects subdued selling pressure, suggesting a possible shift toward stronger buying momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in a consolidation phase, yet to confirm a clear bullish push. A decisive move above the EMA200 could signal further upside potential.
DXY
The dollar is experiencing a sharp decline, dropping below 106.111 and confirming a broader bearish shift. While the MACD is nearing a bullish crossover, this movement appears to be a minor correction rather than a reversal. The RSI, already in overbought territory, reinforces the likelihood of continued selling pressure in the near term.
GBPUSD
The pound has regained strength after bouncing from 1.25740, contradicting earlier expectations of a continued downturn. The MACD is stabilizing at elevated levels, and the RSI is normalizing, indicating that upside momentum remains intact. We are looking for additional buying opportunities, though the outlook could change if Trump announces new tariffs on Europe, which may introduce fresh downside risk.
AUDUSD
The Australian dollar remains in a consolidation phase, testing its lower range before bouncing back, countering expectations of a stronger bearish move. The MACD is beginning to reflect increased buying interest, while the RSI remains relatively stable despite the price testing both the EMA200 and the upper boundary of its range. A trend reversal is still uncertain, and much of the movement appears to be driven by broader dollar weakness rather than inherent AUD strength.
NZDUSD
The Kiwi dollar is mirroring the Australian dollar, consolidating within its current range. Despite briefly breaking lower, the pair has since rebounded, now approaching the upper boundary and testing the EMA200. The MACD is nearing a bullish crossover, though volume remains muted, while the RSI suggests underlying buying strength. While momentum has yet to fully shift, we remain attentive to further developments.
EURUSD
The euro is capitalizing on the dollar‘s weakness, extending its rally and reinforcing its bullish momentum. Both the MACD and RSI support this shift, indicating a continued push higher. Contrary to prior expectations, the euro’s rally suggests that investors are increasingly concerned about the U.S. economys outlook, prompting a flight toward the single currency. We maintain a bullish bias in this market.
USDJPY
The yen is ranging, expanding its price channel after hitting new lows. It is now testing the EMA200, with the MACD picking up bullish volume. However, the RSI is already signaling overbought conditions, indicating that the uptrend may be losing steam. We are maintaining a neutral stance until a clearer breakout or trend confirmation emerges.
USDCHF
The Swiss franc is attracting renewed demand as investors seek stability amid global market uncertainty. This shift has pushed price action back into selling territory. The RSI is now overbought, while the MACD has crossed higher, suggesting that further upside remains possible. However, with escalating trade tensions, downside risks persist, and caution is warranted.
USDCAD
The Canadian dollar remains stuck in consolidation at elevated levels. The MACD and RSI confirm this stagnation, reflecting a market in search of direction. Despite the dollars notable decline, CAD weakness remains a limiting factor, contributing to the lack of response. We continue to look for bullish opportunities, as the loonie remains comparatively vulnerable.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.