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Abstract:CZ explains why only a small portion of crypto participants will succeed long-term, highlighting Bitcoin’s dominant position in the market.
Changpeng Zhao (CZ), the former CEO of Binance, has shared his thoughts on the future of the crypto market, asserting that only a small portion of participants will achieve long-term success.
In a response to an X post by crypto influencer EmperorBTC on March 17, CZ delved into the psychology behind crypto investors. EmperorBTC argued that the majority of market participants lack the knowledge and commitment to thrive. “The bar to succeed in crypto is very low,” he stated, highlighting the transient nature of most crypto investors.
According to EmperorBTC, about 80% of crypto investors are “tourists” who enter based on market trends and exit when sentiment shifts. More than 10% make decisions based on “foolish influencers,” and 5% pretend to be wealthy. This leaves only 5% of participants who truly understand cryptocurrencies.
However, CZ pointed out that even among the 5% who are more knowledgeable, most are unable to outperform Bitcoin. He noted that only 4% of these active participants trade or invest in blockchain projects but fail to outperform Bitcoin in the long run. By contrast, long-term Bitcoin holders, who make up over 99% of the crypto market, consistently outperform other asset classes with minimal effort.
While Bitcoin is currently trading at $82,930, with resistance at $85,000, CZ emphasized that climbing into the top 1% of crypto market participants requires exceptional effort, deep knowledge, and continuous work. As CZ put it, “4% actively trade or work on projects but won't outperform Bitcoin. Holding BTC surpasses 99% of crypto participants and other asset types, by doing practically nothing.”
This perspective highlights the inherent challenges of succeeding in crypto and reinforces Bitcoins dominant position in the market.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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