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Extrait:Sterling is testing a critical support confluence just below the January lows - the battle lines are drawn. Here are the levels that matter on the GBP/USD weekly chart.
GBP/USD testing critical confluence support at 1.2374-1.2433 – Focus is on the weekly close
英镑兑美元在1.2374-1.2433测试关键汇流支持 - 焦点在于每周收盘
The British Pound is down near 0.75% against the US Dollar this week with Sterling testing a major support confluence just below the January lows. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the GBP/USD weekly price chart. Review my latestWeekly Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this gold price setup and more.
英镑兑美元汇率下跌近0.75%本周美元兑英镑在1月低点附近测试了主要支撑汇合点。这些是英镑/美元周价格图表中的更新目标和失效水平。查看我最新的周刊策略网络研讨会,深入了解这个黄金价格设置等。
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GBP/USD Price Chart - Sterling Weekly
英镑/美元价格走势图 - 英镑每周
Notes: In my last GBP/USD Price Outlook we highlighted that, “Sterling has preserved the monthly opening-range heading into the final days of June with price failing today at yearly open resistance. From a trading standpoint, the risk is for correction off this threshold – watch todays close, an outside-day reversal would further highlight the near-term threat for a move lower in the British Pound.” A break below the June range-lows early in the month has seen Cable drop to two-year lows with price now testing a key support confluence.
注:我上一次英镑/美元价格展望我们强调,“英镑已经保持了6月最后几天的月度开盘价,今天的价格在年度开放阻力位上失败。从交易的角度来看,风险是修正这个门槛 - 观察今天的收盘价,外盘逆转将进一步凸显近期英镑走势的威胁。”早盘跌破6月区间低点在本月已经看到英镑跌至两年低点,现在价格正在测试关键支撑汇合点。
The zone in focus is 1.2374-1.2433 – a region defined by the 2016 post-Brexit low-week close and the 2017 low-week close. Note that channel support also converges on this threshold and further highlights its technical significance. A break / weekly close below would expose subsequent support objectives at the 61.8% extension at 1.2185. Monthly open resistance stands at 1.2695 with broader bearish invalidation steady at 1.2754/64 (critical) where the objective 2019 open converges on the 38.2% retracementof the yearly range – a breach there would shift the focus towards the February low-week close at 1.2888.
关注的区域是1.2374-1.2433 - 2016年英国退欧后低周收盘和2017年低周收盘所定义的区域。请注意,渠道支持也会收敛于此阈值,并进一步突出其技术意义。下方休息/每周收盘将使后续支撑目标暴露在61.8%扩展至1.2185。月度开盘阻力位于1.2695,更广泛的看跌失效稳定在1.2754 / 6(关键)当2019年开放的目标收敛于年度区间的38.2%回撤位时 - 突破将使焦点转向2月低位收盘时的1.2888。
For a complete breakdown of Michaels trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy
完整细分Michaels交易策略,回顾他的技术分析基础系列建立交易策略
Bottom line: Sterling is a testing a critical support zone this week and from a technical standpoint, leaves the broader short-bias at risk while above 1.2374. From a trading standpoint, a good spot to reduce short exposure / lower protective stops. Be on the lookout for downside exhaustion here – Ill publish an updated Sterling Price Outlook once we get further clarity in near-term GBP/USD price action.
底线:Sterling本周是从技术角度测试关键支撑区域,在1.2374以上时,更大的短期偏见处于风险之中。从交易的角度来看,这是减少短期曝光/降低保护性停留的好地方。继续关注下行疲惫 - 一旦我们进一步明确近期英镑/美元价格行动,我会发布更新的英镑价格展望。
Sterling Trader Sentiment (GBP/USD)
Sterling Trader Sentiment(GBP / USD)
A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long GBP/USD - the ratio stands at +3.57 (78.1% of traders are long) – bearish reading
IG客户情绪摘要显示,交易者持有净多头英镑/美元 - 该比率为+3.57(占比的78.1%)交易者很长) - 看跌看跌
Traders have remained net-long since May 6th; price has moved 3.3% lower since then
自5月6日以来,交易者仍然持有净多头;此后价格已下跌3.3%
Long positions are 7.8% lower than yesterday and 5.8% lower from last week
多头头寸比昨天减少7.8%,比上周减少5.8%
Short positions are 3.5% lower than yesterday and 19.4% higher from last week
空头头寸比昨天减少3.5%,比上周增加19.4%
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests GBP/USD prices may continue to fall. Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday & compared with last week and the recent changes in sentiment warn that the current GBP/USD price trend may soon reverse higher - despite the fact traders remain net-long.
我们通常采取逆向观点来看待人群情绪,而且交易商净多头表明英镑/美元价格可能继续下跌。然而,与上周相比,交易商的净持有量较上周减少,而近期的情绪变化警告称,目前的英镑/美元价格趋势可能很快反转走高 - 尽管交易者仍然保持净多头。
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经济日历 - 最新经济发展和即将发生的事件风险。在我们的免费指南中了解更多关于我们如何交易新闻的信息!
Previous Weekly Technical Charts
以前的每周技术图表
Loonie (USD/CAD)
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Aussie (AUD/USD)
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Gold (XAU/USD)
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原油(WTI)
Avertissement:
Les opinions exprimées dans cet article représentent le point de vue personnel de l'auteur et ne constituent pas des conseils d'investissement de la plateforme. La plateforme ne garantit pas l'exactitude, l'exhaustivité ou l'actualité des informations contenues dans cet article et n'est pas responsable de toute perte résultant de l'utilisation ou de la confiance dans les informations contenues dans cet article.
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