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Özet:Sterling turned from yearly open resistance today & leaves the recent advance vulnerable into the June close. Here are the levels that matter on the GBP/USD price chart.
GBP/USD price recovery targeting resistance – risk for topside exhaustionsub-1.2754
英镑兑美元价格回升目标阻力 - 上行穷举的风险-125754
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Check out our 2019 projections in our Free DailyFX Sterling (GBP/USD) Trading Forecasts
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Join Michael for Live Weekly Strategy Webinars on Mondays at 12:30GMT
加入迈克尔周一早上12点30分举行的Live Weekly Strategy网络研讨会
The British Pound rallied more than 2.2% off the June lows with the advance failing to breach / close above the monthly opening-range highs / yearly open resistance. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the GBP/USD charts into the close of the month. Review this weeks Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this setup and more.
英镑兑美元汇率上涨超过2.2% 6月低点,未能突破/收于每月开盘高位/年度开放阻力位之上。这些是更新的目标和失效水平,这些水平在本月收盘时对GBP / USD图表很重要。回顾本周的策略网络研讨会,深入了解此设置及其他内容。
New to Forex Trading? Get started with this Free Beginners Guide
外汇交易新手入门?开始使用此免费入门指南
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Sterling Price Chart - GBP/USD Daily
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Technical Outlook: A five-day rally in the British Pound covered the entire June range with price struggling once again to breach above objective yearly open resistance at 1.2754. Note that the 61.8% retracement of the yearly range rests just higher at 1.2798 and ultimately, a breach / close above this threshold is needed to suggest that a more significant Sterling low is in place. Subsequent topside resistance objectives at the April lows at 1.2866 and 1.2944/50.
技术展望:英镑兑美元五日涨势覆盖整个6月区间价格再次突破,突破目标年度开盘阻力位1.2754。请注意,年度区间的61.8%回撤位于1.2798附近,最终需要突破/收盘高于此阈值才能表明存在更为显着的英镑低位。随后的上行阻力目标位于4月低点1.2866和1.2944 / 50.
Daily support rest with the monthly open at 1.2632 – Ultimately a break below the low-day close at 1.2553 would be needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend with such a scenario targeting the 78.6% retracement at 1.2469.
每日支撑休息,月度开盘报1.2632 - 最终需要突破低点收盘价1.2553才能重新回到更广泛的下行趋势,这种情况的目标是在78.6%的回撤位1.2469。
Why does the average trader lose? Avoid these Mistakes in your trading
为什么平均交易者在你的交易中避免这些错误
Bottom line: Sterling has preserved the monthly opening-range heading into the final days of June with price failing today at yearly open resistance. From a trading standpoint, the risk is for correction off this threshold – watch today‘s close, an outside-day reversal would further highlight the near-term threat for a move lower in the British Pound. Ultimately, we’ll want to look for support ahead of the monthly open for entries IF Cable is indeed heading higher. Ill publish an updated GBP/USD Price Outlook once we get further clarity in near-term price action.
底线:英镑保持了6月最后几天的月度开盘价,今年价格在年度开放阻力位置失败。从从交易的角度来看,风险是为了修正这个门槛 - 观察今天的收盘价,外线逆转将进一步凸显近期英镑走势的威胁。最终,我们将希望在月度开放之前寻找支持IF Cable确实走高。在我们进一步明确近期价格行动后,我会发布更新的英镑/美元价格展望。
For a complete breakdown of Michaels trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy
有关迈克尔斯交易策略的完整细分,请查看他的技术分析基础系列建立交易策略
GBP/USD Trader Sentiment
英镑/美元交易者情绪
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A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long GBP/USD - the ratio stands at +2.52 (71.6% of traders are long) – bearish reading
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Traders have remained net-long since May 6th; price has moved 1.6% lower since then
自5月6日以来,交易商一直保持净多头;此后价格已下跌1.6%
Long positions are 2.3% higher than yesterday and 21.3% lower from last week
多头头寸比昨天增加2.3%,比上周减少21.3%
Short positions are 3.1% lower than yesterday and 28.1% higher from last week
空头头寸比昨天减少3.1%,比上周增加28.1%
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Sterling prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday & last week, and the combination of current positioning and recent changes gives us a stronger British Pound (GBP/USD) - bearish contrarian trading bias from a sentiment standpoint.
我们通常采取逆向观点来看待人群情绪,而且交易商净多头表明英镑价格可能继续下跌。交易商比昨天和上周进一步净多头,目前定位和近期变化的结合使我们的英镑(英镑/美元)走强 - 从情绪的角度来看,看跌的逆势交易偏差。
Relevant UK / US Data Releases
相关的英国/美国数据发布
Active Trade Setups
活跃交易设置
Gold Price Chart: XAU Breakout Testing Resistance at Six-Year Highs
黄金价格走势图:XAU突破测试阻力位于六年高位
Canadian Dollar Price Outlook: Loonie Gains Slam USD/CAD into Support
加拿大元价格展望:Loonie获得支持美元/加元支持
Euro Price Outlook: EUR/USD Breakout Levels Well-Defined Post-Fed
欧元价格展望:欧元/美元突破水平明确定义后美联储
Kiwi Price Outlook: New Zealand Dollar Counter-Offensive, First Test
新西兰元价格展望:新西兰元反攻,第一测试
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