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Abstract:The U.S. dollar edged higher against a basket of currencies on Thursday, as increased restrictions in parts of the world to contain the spread of COVID-19, including the new Omicron variant, tempered investors' appetite for riskier currencies.
The U.S. dollar edged higher against a basket of currencies on Thursday, as increased restrictions in parts of the world to contain the spread of COVID-19, including the new Omicron variant, tempered investors' appetite for riskier currencies.
The U.S. Dollar Currency Index was up 0.3% at 96.193.
“I think we are seeing some caution in the markets because of Omicron. I think the worry that it would be worse than Delta has waned but the reports about how easily transmissible the strain is have caused extra caution,” said John Doyle, vice president of dealing and trading at FX payments firm Tempus Inc.
“There are worries about how governments could react, and the UK's 'Plan B' is a great example.”
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Wednesday imposed tougher COVID-19 restrictions in England, ordering people to work from home, wear masks in public places and use vaccine passes to slow the spread of the new variant.
Johnson said Omicron was spreading rapidly and he had no choice but to move to “Plan B” while a vaccine booster programme is accelerated.
“Risk is off for the first time this week so the greenback is up against the entire G10 except for the safe-haven yen,” Doyle said.
The dollar was 0.2% lower against the Japanese yen.
Investors were also awaiting U.S. inflation data on Friday that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's strategy on interest rate hikes.
“I think we are seeing some position squaring ahead of the CPI data tomorrow and the various central bank meetings next week,” Doyle said.
With the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England among those meeting to discuss monetary policy next week, investors will be watching for forward guidance, especially from the Fed, where some analysts expect a faster unwinding of pandemic-era stimulus plans.
On Thursday, China's yuan pulled back from a 3-1/2-year high and was set for its biggest drop in more than four months after the central bank raised foreign currency reserve requirements.
The pound held steady, just above its 2021 low hit on Wednesday when the “Plan B” restrictions were announced. [nL1N2SU0G8]
Bitcoin fell 3.7% to $48,741.92, struggling to find a footing after rebounding from a sharp weekend plunge.
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The dollar continued to face downside pressure following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Concerns were raised by FOMC members over potential labour market deterioration, with the majority of the members signalling that a September rate cut might be appropriate. This dovish narrative provided buoyancy to the equity market, as all major U.S. indexes gained in the last session.
The equity markets continued their upward momentum, driven by the easing of the Japanese Yen's strength. The Yen was pressured by a dovish tone from Japanese authorities, signalling that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might keep its monetary policy unchanged amid rising global economic uncertainties.
The financial markets reacted positively to the upbeat Initial Jobless Claims data released yesterday, which came in at 233k, lower than market expectations. This eased concerns about a weakening labour market and the heightened recession risks that emerged after last Friday's disappointing NFP report. Wall Street benefited from the improved risk appetite, with the Nasdaq leading gains, surging by over 400 points in the last session.
The highly anticipated Fed’s interest rate decision was disclosed yesterday, hammering the dollar’s strength lower as Fed Chief Jerome Powell explicitly signalled that a September rate cut is possible. The U.S. central bank is balancing both inflation and recession risks, with interest rates adjusted to curb inflation while maintaining a solid labour market.