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Gold prices are holding above $2,350 in early Asian trading despite a recent dip to two-week lows. This stability follows stronger-than-expected Q2 2024 US GDP, which raised doubts about the Federal Reserve's rate cut plans. Core PCE inflation moderated to 2.9%, and jobless claims declined. Markets still anticipate a Fed rate cut in September due to ongoing disinflation. Gold initially fell on the GDP data but recovered with the softer core PCE reading.
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It can be seen that the current financial market is full of uncertainty. On the one hand, investors are highly concerned about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations and policy changes, and on the other hand, concerns about the prospects of artificial intelligence technology and investment returns are also affecting the performance of the stock market. These factors work together to form a complex and changeable market environment, and investors need to make decisions more cautious
The U.S. equity market experienced one of its worst trading days this year, with the Nasdaq leading the decline, plunging more than 700 points in the last session. Investor concerns over the AI sector surged following Tesla's earnings miss and Google's higher-than-expected spending, both of which saw sharp declines.
The global market reacts to various developments, including Tesla's profit miss, China's interest rate cut, Bernard Arnault's net worth decline, and typhoon Gaemi's impact. The Mt. Gox compensation, Lineage Inc.'s IPO, and Netanyahu's speech in the US Congress also influence market dynamics. European banks' mixed performance, Canada's rate cut, and Russia's sanction issues add to the market fluctuations, along with South Korea's GDP contraction and stable oil prices.
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USD/JPY is under selling pressure around $153, a three-month low, as expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate cut support the Yen. The focus is on the advanced US Q2 GDP. Mixed US PMI data and a dovish Fed stance add to the selling pressure on the USD.
Market Review | July 25, 2024
Market Review | July 25, 2024
In the coming months, OPEC+'s decisions, U.S. political dynamics, Iraq's energy policy adjustments, and China's economic policy changes will have a profound impact on the global oil market. Investors and analysts need to closely monitor these dynamics to better understand and predict market trends.
Tesla faces ongoing struggles with profit misses, impacting its stock and investor confidence. Meanwhile, Alphabet Inc.'s strong Q2 earnings highlight robust demand in cloud services and advertising. Political developments in the US, with Vice President Kamala Harris rallying support, and India's budget aimed at job creation reflect significant economic shifts. Natural disasters and corporate news, such as Boeing's resumed 737 Max deliveries and Citi's upgrade of Coinbase, also influence market
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As the forex market has been dull in recent sessions, the PMI readings from the U.S., U.K. and eurozone today may be a catalyst to stimulate the market.
Gold prices are set to rise, driven by a busy U.S. economic schedule and interest rate cut expectations. Rebounding above $2,400 due to India's import tax cut, gold is poised for further gains. Bullish RSI indicates strong momentum, with key resistance at $2,412 and $2,450, and an all-time high of $2,483 in sight. Support levels are at $2,384 and the 50-day SMA at $2,359.
Market Review | July 24, 2024
Market Overview | July 24, 2024
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Gold is experiencing a bullish trend, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and economic uncertainties. Key events like CPI data, ECB rate decisions, and U.S. jobless claims are influencing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Investors are closely monitoring these indicators for further direction on gold prices.
Global Market Reactions to Key Political, Economic, and Corporate Developments
The Bank of Japan is in a complex and highly sensitive decision-making environment and must find a balance between controlling inflation and supporting economic growth. Although inflation continues to rise, reaching 2.6%, exceeding the central bank's target, the decline in real wages and weak consumption pose challenges to the decision to raise interest rates. Market expectations for the central bank's interest rate hike are inconsistent, and the fluctuations in the yen exchange rate and governm