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U.S. Inflation Drops to Lowest Level in Over Two Years, Strengthening Expectations of a September Federal Reserve Rate Cut; Real Estate Market Hits Record High, Renewed Bubble Debate
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although market expectations for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates further in the short term have declined, some large investors and asset management companies still bet on the continuation of tightening policies. At the same time, the global financial market is closely watching the policy direction of the Federal Reserve, expecting it to start cutting interest rates in September. Against this backdrop, the trend of the yen exchange rate and Japanese government bond yields will be affect
The global economy is displaying complex regional dynamics. While U.S. retail sales and employment data highlight economic resilience. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions, such as the Israel-Gaza ceasefire talks, and central banks' divergent strategies add further uncertainty. Investors remain cautious, balancing potential opportunities in emerging markets with risks from global economic shifts.
The Dollar Index (DXY) remains under pressure as dovish comments from multiple Federal Reserve officials suggest the possibility of a rate cut in the near future.
Middle East situation-Blinken said Netanyahu has accepted the latest ceasefire agreement. Hamas responded: "No agreement will be reached unless Hamas' conditions are met and the content of previous UN resolutions is complied with." An end to the war will be bad for crude oil and gold.
Gold prices remain near record highs, driven by expectations of a US interest rate cut and a weakening US Dollar. Investors are focusing on the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech will be closely watched for clues on the Fed's stance. Additionally, the release of US manufacturing data (PMIs) is expected to influence gold's direction.
Market Review | August 20, 2024
Market Overview | August 20, 2024
Gold (XAU/USD) trades back below $2,500 on Monday as it corrects the gains made after it broke above resistance to a new all-time high on Friday.
Gold prices soared above the $2,500 mark for the first time, driven by expectations of potential interest rate cuts, which have weakened the dollar to its recent low levels. Market participants are now focused on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes for insights into the Fed’s next monetary policy moves.
The strong performance of the gold market in 2024 is not only a response to global economic uncertainty but also a deep understanding of central bank policies and market trends. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, still cannot be ignored in its value and attractiveness in a changing market environment. The rise in prices is not only a reflection of market sentiment but also an expectation of future economic policies and the global economic situation. Investors need to closely monitor the re
Market Review | August 19, 2024
July's strong US retail sales and declining jobless claims highlight the resilience of the US economy despite easing inflation pressures. Meanwhile, the UK saw a surprising drop in unemployment but slower wage growth, and the Eurozone experienced its sixth consecutive quarter of productivity decline. China's sharp drop in foreign direct investment reflects growing concerns over its economic outlook. Globally, economic dynamics are complex, with the US remaining strong
Market Review | August 19, 2024
Boosted by the weakening of the US dollar and the expectation of an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve, spot gold broke through $2,500/ounce, setting a new record high. It finally closed up 2.08% at $2,507.7/ounce. Spot silver finally closed up 2.31% at $29.02/ounce.
JPY is strengthening against USD after Japan's strong GDP growth raised prospects of a Bank of Japan rate hike. The USD/JPY pair, initially boosted by a strong USD and higher Treasury yields, is now pressured by uncertainty over a potential US rate cut, with traders debating between a 25 or 50 basis point reduction.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis
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