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XAUUSD Technical Analysis
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This article explores the recent revival of yen carry trades, and the anticipated re-entry of quantitative funds into U.S. markets. It also covers the impacts of Typhoon Lan on Japan, Kamala Harris's new economic policy proposal. These developments highlight the dynamic shifts in global financial markets and the strategic responses from businesses and governments.
Asian equities soared as traders returned to risk assets amid growing optimism that the US economy will avoid a recession. The yen is poised for its worst week since May.
On Thursday (August 15th), strong US economic data led traders to reduce their bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
stronger-than-anticipated U.S. Retail Sales growth and Initial Jobless Claims, eased recession fears and bolstered the dollar's strength in the last session.
Market Review | August 16, 2024
For June 2024, Canada's CPI rose by 2.7% year-over-year, down from 2.9% previously. This decrease in core inflation is driven by a combination of slower economic growth and moderated wage growth, even with a strong labor market. The FOMC meeting minutes from July 2024 indicated that the Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate within the target range of 5.25% to 5.50% and revealed a shift in the Fed's focus. The latest data on U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, for the week ending...
Market Review | August 16, 2024
This year's arbitrage gains have been erased, with 65%-75% of these positions closed. The dollar's reaction has been as expected but slightly disappointing, with a significant 100 basis point rise in U.S. short-term interest rates impacting it. JPMorgan has reduced its dollar forecasts, now predicting USD/JPY at $146 in Q4 2024 and $144 in Q2 2025, down from $147. Despite a weakening job market, other economic data remains strong.
The monthly rate of retail sales in the United States in July was 1%, far exceeding expectations; the number of initial claims last week was slightly lower than expected, falling to the lowest level since July; traders cut their expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and interest rate futures priced that the Federal Reserve would reduce the rate cut to 93 basis points this year. The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September fell to 27%. The data broke the expectation of a
FBS is excited to announce a significant update in trading conditions for our clients: starting from August 5th, 2024, the leverage on major U.S. indices, including US30, US100, and US500, is increased from 1:200 to 1:500.
the latest release of CPI data in the United States has led to increased expectations in the market that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at the September meeting, while expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut have weakened. Market analysts estimate that the specific rate cut by the Federal Reserve will be determined by the August employment data to be announced, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell may pave the way for a rate cut at the Jackson Hole symposium. Although th
The most anticipated economic indicator of the week, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), was released yesterday, coming in at 2.9%, below the 3% threshold and in line with the Producer Price Index (PPI) data from the previous day. This further sign of easing inflationary pressure in the U.S. has heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve may implement its first rate cut in September.
Today's global market update highlights key economic developments, including concerns over the US labor market, Japan's economic rebound, and China's property market stabilization. Leadership transitions in Japan and Thailand add political uncertainty, while market reactions to major companies like Nike and tech advancements in AI showcase shifting dynamics. International diplomacy and geopolitical tensions remain critical as global financial landscapes continue to evolve.
The annual rate of the overall CPI in the United States in July was 2.9%, the first time it has returned to the "2-digit" since March 2021, slightly lower than the expected 3%; the monthly rate rebounded from -0.1% to 0.2% as expected. At the same time, the year-on-year growth rate of the core CPI in July fell to 3.2%, and the month-on-month growth rate rebounded from 0.1% to 0.2% as expected. After the data was released, traders lowered their expectations of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed
Spot XAU/USD dropped nearly $18, closing below $2,450, after the latest U.S. CPI report reduced hopes for a significant Fed rate cut. The CPI rose 0.2% in July, with a notable increase in rent, particularly "owner's equivalent rent," which accelerated to 0.36%, contributing to the market's disappointment.
Market Review | August 15, 2024
Market Review | August 15, 2024